AUSTRALIA POLITICS: Turnbull Approval Rating is Down

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By Politicoscope September 10, 2017 15:23
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Mr Turnbull’s approval rating is down, but because Opposition Leader Bill Shorten, has fallen much further, the Prime Minister has increased his lead over him as preferred prime minister. It’s not much at all – as we said, the glimmers are few, distant and dim. Of the states, NSW is relatively solid for the Coalition, with the two-party preferred vote split evenly between it and Labor.

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AUSTRALIA POLITICS: Turnbull Approval Rating is Down

Malcolm Turnbull has not turned the corner. Indeed, it looks quite possible we are not even at the corner yet. Today’s Fairfax-Ipsos poll has some minor glimmers of hope for the Prime Minister, but they are few, distant and dim.

Overall, there is no movement in the government’s favour, no appreciable change in its standing. In two-party preferred terms, the antagonists are where they were in May, with Labor ahead by 6 points, although its primary vote is lower than the Coalition’s.

The government’s primary vote is slightly down, but so is Labor’s, and the changes, along with a slight rise in the Green vote, are within the margin of error, and so may not indicate movement at all.

Mr Turnbull’s approval rating is down, but because Opposition Leader Bill Shorten, has fallen much further, the Prime Minister has increased his lead over him as preferred prime minister.

It’s not much at all – as we said, the glimmers are few, distant and dim. Of the states, NSW is relatively solid for the Coalition, with the two-party preferred vote split evenly between it and Labor.

Queensland and Western Australia have the Coalition at 51 per cent, while in Victoria, South Australia and Northern Territory it struggles in the mid-40s.

The relative strength of the federal Coalition in NSW appears to contrast with its fortunes at state and local level.

Saturday’s council elections in NSW gave voters a chance to show their widespread disillusion with the Liberals in particular – almost certainly due to the state government’s now abandoned attempt to amalgamate local councils. While Australian voters are often said to distinguish between state and federal issues, it would not take much for that resentment to spread to Canberra.

This poll also asked respondents about the economy, and those who manage it or who might.

Voters are more confident that the Coalition has the policies to manage the economy than Labor, and prefer Scott Morrison to his shadow, Chris Bowen.

By big majorities, supporters of all parties believe Mr Turnbull provides better economic leadership than his predecessor, Tony Abbott, but the margin among Coalition supporters is narrowest – not quite two to one. (Among Labor voters it is three to one; among Greens seven to one).

Voters also rated Mr Morrison’s performance reasonably well – and certainly better than Joe Hockey’s after his 2014 budget, when the then treasurer had a net approval rating of minus 25.

Perhaps there is a clue here to Mr Morrison’s relative success.

His public profile has not been especially high.

By keeping relatively quiet, getting on with the job, and showing his competence in presiding over an economy where, according to figures released last week, growth is steady and employment has improved by 214,000 jobs in seven months, he is doing more than anyone to lift the Coalition’s fortunes.

Quiet achievement. Getting on with the job. Competence. These are qualities which, for good reason, voters value.

Others in the Coalition parties might consider giving the Prime Minister, their leader, the chance to display them, too. Then he, and his government, might be able to turn the corner at last.

– The Age



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Politicoscope
By Politicoscope September 10, 2017 15:23
Since You’re Here, We Would Like to ask You for Help
There are more readers worldwide reading the Politicoscope daily news content than ever before. Unlike many other news media organisations that charge their readers subscription fees for the same daily news content and features we offer you for free, we do not charge all our readers to pay any fee. We depend on online advertising to generate the revenues to fund all these great news content and exclusive features provided to you for free. Currently, advertising revenues are quickly falling which is affecting our ability to offer you free online news content.
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